2026 US elections: refined figures show 40 of 41 local votes on data centers resulted in restrictions, opposition linked to Democratic victory
A new analysis of the 2026 US elections refines the earlier estimate of 38 of 44 measures to 40 of 41 local votes on data centers that resulted in restrictions on their construction. Opposition to data centers is linked to the Democratic victory in the Ohio Senate race and the Texas gubernatorial race.
A newer source (The Conversation) refines previously published figures on the 2026 US elections: of 41 local ballot initiatives concerning data centers in 10 states, 40 resulted in measures restricting their construction (an earlier estimate from Redbud Consulting cited 38 of 44 measures in the same 10 states). The only vote that did not result in a restriction took place in Harwood, North Dakota, where instead of a ban, a requirement for independent assessments and public hearings for project expansions passed. The average margin of victory for restrictive votes was 49 percentage points. According to NBC exit polls, 56% of voters considered data centers a major or key factor in their choice for Congress, rising to 68% among Black voters. The topic also featured in key races – Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown criticized rival Jon Husted's support for data centers in the Ohio Senate race, while in Texas, Gina Hinojosa built her campaign on criticizing Governor Greg Abbott's tax breaks for these centers and won the election, ending decades of Republican control of the state.
According to the earlier analysis by Redbud Consulting, these were predominantly moratoriums and bans on new projects which, according to experts, should not affect construction already approved or underway through 2027, but will primarily affect projects planned for 2028. Representatives of major tech companies claim, according to sources, that voter criticism should be understood as directed more at President Trump than at the technology itself.
Opposition to data centers crosses traditional party lines: according to a mid-2026 Annenberg Public Policy Center survey, 69% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans oppose data centers in their area. Before the elections, the House of Representatives passed the Ratepayer Protection Act by a vote of 417:3, which would call on states to consider requiring data centers to pay for necessary grid upgrades; the Senate version of the bill did not pass. According to the Brookings Institution, the newly elected Congress will revisit the topic with a proposal for mandatory rather than voluntary measures. President Trump responded to the criticism by claiming that opponents of data centers want their communities to remain "backward and poor." On November 4, Elon Musk wrote on X that data centers in space now look appealing, and the following day, stocks of companies linked to data centers fell.
The source (The Conversation) notes that evidence that opposition to data centers actually determined the outcome of the elections is still limited – there is no information on what position the defeated candidates held on the topic, and the high success rate of restrictive measures does not indicate the level of opposition to the more than 600 new projects planned across the US.
Why it matters
For companies planning to build data centers in the US, political and regulatory risk is rising at the state and municipal level – moratoriums and bans mainly concern projects planned for 2028, while already approved or ongoing construction through 2027 should remain unaffected. Opposition crosses party lines, so the risk of restrictions cannot be estimated based solely on a given state's political leaning.
What was added since the original report
Verified updates
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40 of 41 ballot initiatives led to restrictive measures (refined from 38 of 44); the average margin of victory for restrictive votes was 49 percentage points; 56% of voters saw data centers as a key election factor, 68% among Black voters; opposition crossed traditional party lines: 69% of Democrats vs 54% of Republicans; data centers became a factor in specific races: the Ohio Senate race (Brown vs Husted) and the Texas gubernatorial race (Hinojosa defeated Abbott)
- 40 of 41 ballot initiatives led to restrictive measures (refined from 38 of 44)
- The average margin of victory for restrictive votes was 49 percentage points
- 56% of voters saw data centers as a key election factor; 68% among Black voters
- Opposition crossed traditional party lines: 69% of Democrats vs 54% of Republicans
- Data centers became a factor in specific races: the Ohio Senate race (Brown vs Husted) and the Texas gubernatorial race (Hinojosa defeated Abbott)
Two audiences, two different impacts
What this means
For individuals
Regulatory pressure on US data centers may affect the stock prices of tech companies operating AI infrastructure, which is relevant for readers with investments in this sector.
For a business
Companies planning data center expansion in the US must factor in growing risk of local moratoriums and bans, especially for projects targeting 2028, while already approved construction through 2027 should remain unaffected.
Risks and complianceCheck the original
Event sources
confirmed by 2 independent sources · 2 publishers, 2 independent. We count feeds from the same owner only once.